Anyone saying there will be a crash in auto prices "when this is over" is just ignorant of the situation. There is 0 chance the market resets even after cars become available new again.
The supply chain crisis isnt ending anytime soon, there is going to be another 2-3 years of dealers sitting on 10-20% of the inventory they used to carry.
I wouldn't be surprised if this period swings the entire US car buying market into direct brand to consumer sales. These dealers cant survive selling 10 cars a month.
It absolutely is doing just that.
Ford just announced that dealerships are going away entirely. DTC sales only. This means MSRP on everything moving forward (after the market "resets"). They set the price, you pay it. It's the same thing that Tesla has been doing this whole time. I'm sure very select small locations will exist with a handful of cars for test drives, etc. But the days of loading up dealer lots and tacking on a boat load of extras to price hike are over. This also means there will almost always be a waiting period after ordering your car.
There was a time that I expected to pay MSRP OTD, or even lower. You were a sucker for paying sticker. Again, I don't think it will ever happen again. Manufacturers are going to take control of the market by eliminating dealerships entirely. This will be a double edged sword, though. In one sense there won't be any ADM on new cars, but on the other, you won't be getting a deal either. It's only a matter of time before those dealership lots turn into Amazon fulfillment centers.